Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.105224 0.124767 0.146645 0.172910 0.203547 0.238109 0.280016
2025-01-26 0.076518 0.102111 0.133996 0.176456 0.231318 0.299591 0.390756
2025-02-02 0.059440 0.087112 0.124613 0.178747 0.254413 0.355862 0.501520
2025-02-09 0.047757 0.075748 0.116454 0.179288 0.272984 0.406478 0.609728
2025-02-16 0.039954 0.067914 0.111150 0.181866 0.293330 0.460559 0.728110
2025-02-23 0.035008 0.063293 0.109481 0.188977 0.320506 0.526898 0.871555
2025-03-02 0.028846 0.055356 0.100973 0.183411 0.326239 0.560063 0.966558
2025-03-09 0.024866 0.050405 0.096509 0.183604 0.340918 0.608456 1.090610
2025-03-16 0.021233 0.045371 0.090991 0.180893 0.349812 0.647591 1.202691
2025-03-23 0.019100 0.042830 0.089595 0.185355 0.371805 0.711261 1.363475
2025-03-30 0.016638 0.039146 0.085382 0.183712 0.381982 0.754531 1.491735
2025-04-06 0.014277 0.035226 0.080056 0.178997 0.385426 0.785374 1.599691
2025-04-13 0.012149 0.031469 0.074569 0.173342 0.386645 0.812842 1.705750
2025-04-20 0.011046 0.029908 0.073610 0.177226 0.408035 0.882122 1.901036
2025-04-27 0.009976 0.028217 0.072080 0.179597 0.426442 0.947235 2.094509
2025-05-04 0.008932 0.026382 0.069910 0.180156 0.440864 1.005472 2.279499
2025-05-11 0.008131 0.025033 0.068690 0.182749 0.460121 1.075784 2.496695
2025-05-18 0.007645 0.024458 0.069310 0.189894 0.490747 1.173730 2.782771
2025-05-25 0.006633 0.022157 0.065100 0.184302 0.490330 1.202643 2.919444
2025-06-01 0.005989 0.020821 0.063243 0.184497 0.504018 1.264843 3.136860
2025-06-08 0.005314 0.019241 0.060447 0.181773 0.510009 1.309666 3.318444
2025-06-15 0.004960 0.018626 0.060296 0.186256 0.535037 1.402024 3.619952
2025-06-22 0.004451 0.017377 0.058079 0.184605 0.543700 1.455538 3.833466